Mirage

Patch 2026-09-29.

Summary

Win rate 43.2% ± 0.5 (n=38,007). Grade D. vs average -6.8 pp.

Kills / deaths / assists per game: 6.2 / 5.9 / 11.8. Net worth per minute: 1,154.3. Average match length: 36.7 min.

Lane highlights: this patch, all ranks, clean matches, all purchases. Ranked by observed match win rate among assigned-lane opponents with enough games; differences use this hero's overall rate in the same population.

Best observed lane opponent: Warden — 49.7% (likely range 45.2% to 54.2%), +6.5 pp vs hero overall, 467 games.

Worst observed lane opponent: Paige — 36.9% (likely range 35.2% to 38.6%), -6.3 pp vs hero overall, 2,953 games.

Top items and bottom items by phase

Bought before 10 min

Top items: Mystic Regeneration +0.6 pp, Healbane +0.5 pp

Bottom items: Improved Spirit -2.5 pp, Headshot Booster -0.8 pp, Extra Spirit -1.3 pp

10–20 min

Top items: Dispel Magic +1.5 pp, Toxic Bullets +0.7 pp, Titanic Magazine +0.7 pp

Bottom items: Headhunter -3.7 pp

20 min or later

Top items: Silencer +2.7 pp, Siphon Bullets +2.3 pp, Spirit Lifesteal +1.9 pp

Bottom items: Transcendent Cooldown -4.5 pp, Ricochet -1.8 pp, Escalating Exposure -0.9 pp

Ranked by the low end of each likely range, from items with enough games. See Win rate impact below for the full tables.

View the most popular and highest win rate builds for this hero.

By rank tier

Show the rank table

Tier	Games	Win rate	Pick share	Ban rate
All tiers	38,007	43.2% ± 0.5 (n=38,007)	0.8% (n=4,643,618)	0.3% (n=387,129)
1 Initiate	2,162	46.0% ± 2.1 (n=2,162)	0.8% (n=286,633)	0.3% (n=26,191)
2 Seeker	4,228	42.3% ± 1.5 (n=4,228)	0.7% (n=567,145)	0.2% (n=53,624)
3 Acolyte	4,030	43.4% ± 1.5 (n=4,030)	0.7% (n=538,601)	0.2% (n=49,318)
4 Sentinel	3,636	43.0% ± 1.6 (n=3,636)	0.8% (n=454,663)	0.2% (n=40,935)
5 Mystic	3,519	42.8% ± 1.6 (n=3,519)	0.9% (n=412,948)	0.2% (n=37,362)
6 Ritualist	3,580	42.4% ± 1.6 (n=3,580)	0.9% (n=417,480)	0.2% (n=36,413)
7 Emissary	3,265	44.0% ± 1.7 (n=3,265)	0.8% (n=403,465)	0.1% (n=36,580)
8 Oracle	4,533	42.3% ± 1.4 (n=4,533)	0.8% (n=546,368)	0.4% (n=42,649)
9 Phantom	3,808	43.6% ± 1.6 (n=3,808)	0.9% (n=432,077)	0.6% (n=40,417)
10 Ascendant	1,900	44.6% ± 2.2 (n=1,900)	0.9% (n=213,670)	0.5% (n=16,821)
11 Eternus	735	46.5% ± 3.6 (n=735)	0.9% (n=78,077)	0.8% (n=6,819)

Win rate by match length

Show the match length table

Match length	Win rate
under 30 min	40.6% ± 1.2 (n=6,240)
30–40 min	42.8% ± 0.7 (n=20,787)
40 min or more	45.3% ± 0.9 (n=10,980)

Win rate impact

Show the win rate impact tables

Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC. All ranks, clean matches.

Bought before 10 min

Show 22 rows with too little data Show all 12 rows

Comparison: Bought before 10 min. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances.
Item	Comparison tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Win rate impact	Likely range	Distinct matches	Data covered	Evidence
Mystic Regeneration	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	88.7%	43.4% ± 0.5 (n=33,712)	+0.6 pp	+0.2 to +1.1 pp	37,568	99.5%	likely helps
Monster Rounds	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	39.7%	43.4% ± 0.8 (n=15,106)	+0.4 pp	-0.2 to +1.0 pp	37,568	99.5%	unclear
High-Velocity Rounds	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	14.7%	42.9% ± 1.3 (n=5,579)	+0.2 pp	-1.1 to +1.4 pp	37,568	99.5%	unclear
Headshot Booster	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	36.7%	42.6% ± 0.8 (n=13,950)	-0.8 pp	-1.5 to -0.2 pp	37,568	99.5%	likely hurts
Extended Magazine	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	12.7%	44.1% ± 1.4 (n=4,819)	-0.0 pp	-2.1 to +2.0 pp	37,568	99.5%	unclear
Extra Spirit	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	23.4%	41.8% ± 1.0 (n=8,900)	-1.3 pp	-2.4 to -0.1 pp	37,568	99.5%	likely hurts
Healbane	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	52.0%	45.1% ± 0.7 (n=19,756)	+0.5 pp	+0.0 to +1.0 pp	33,577	99.6%	likely helps
Suppressor	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	44.5%	43.8% ± 0.7 (n=16,897)	-0.1 pp	-0.6 to +0.5 pp	33,577	99.6%	unclear
Compress Cooldown	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	26.9%	45.8% ± 1.0 (n=10,228)	+0.2 pp	-0.8 to +1.2 pp	33,577	99.6%	unclear
Mystic Vulnerability	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	11.1%	47.7% ± 1.5 (n=4,207)	-0.5 pp	-2.3 to +1.2 pp	33,577	99.6%	unclear
Opening Rounds	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	18.1%	44.0% ± 1.2 (n=6,879)	-1.6 pp	-3.3 to +0.0 pp	33,577	99.6%	unclear
Improved Spirit	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	10.4%	42.9% ± 1.5 (n=3,941)	-2.5 pp	-4.1 to -0.9 pp	33,577	99.6%	likely hurts
Spirit Strike	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=45)	—	—	37,568	99.5%	not enough data
Rapid Rounds	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	3.3%	41.0% ± 2.7 (n=1,272)	—	—	37,568	99.5%	not enough data
Mystic Expansion	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=5)	—	—	37,568	99.5%	not enough data
Close Quarters	Tier 1 / 6 alternatives (group 1)	0.4%	44.3% ± 8.1 (n=140)	—	—	37,568	99.5%	not enough data
Melee Charge	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=24)	—	—	33,577	99.6%	not enough data
Quicksilver Reload	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	7.4%	44.9% ± 1.8 (n=2,807)	—	—	33,577	99.6%	not enough data
Stalker	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=27)	—	—	33,577	99.6%	not enough data
Spirit Shielding	Tier 2 / 6 alternatives (group 2)	0.6%	47.2% ± 6.4 (n=233)	—	—	33,577	99.6%	not enough data
Stamina Mastery	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=11)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Torment Pulse	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=16)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Silence Wave	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=2)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Express Shot	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=2)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Cultist Sacrifice	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	2.0%	43.1% ± 3.5 (n=744)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Rapid Recharge	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=40)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Tesla Bullets	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=4)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Lifestrike	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=3)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Knockdown	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=4)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Surge of Power	Tier 3 / 0 alternatives (group 3)	0.4%	42.6% ± 8.1 (n=141)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Glass Cannon	Tier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=1)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Ricochet	Tier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=35)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Boundless Spirit	Tier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=4)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Mercurial Magnum	Tier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=1)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data

10–20 min

Show 27 rows with too little data Show all 13 rows

Comparison: 10–20 min. 100.0% of the comparison covered by data. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances.
Item	Comparison tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Win rate impact	Likely range	Distinct matches	Evidence
Extended Magazine	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	20.8%	44.2% ± 1.1 (n=7,911)	+0.2 pp	-0.4 to +0.8 pp	11,534	unclear
Extra Stamina	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	11.1%	43.9% ± 1.5 (n=4,224)	-0.4 pp	-1.5 to +0.7 pp	11,534	unclear
Titanic Magazine	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	35.0%	44.6% ± 0.8 (n=13,314)	+0.7 pp	+0.0 to +1.3 pp	34,928	likely helps
Mystic Vulnerability	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	59.4%	43.4% ± 0.6 (n=22,567)	+0.3 pp	-0.0 to +0.7 pp	34,928	unclear
Spirit Shredder	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	11.1%	44.9% ± 1.5 (n=4,219)	+1.0 pp	-0.5 to +2.6 pp	34,928	unclear
Recharging Rush	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	23.8%	43.4% ± 1.0 (n=9,037)	-0.1 pp	-0.9 to +0.7 pp	34,928	unclear
Compress Cooldown	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	37.2%	42.1% ± 0.8 (n=14,134)	-0.4 pp	-1.0 to +0.2 pp	34,928	unclear
Healbane	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	25.4%	41.5% ± 1.0 (n=9,652)	-0.6 pp	-1.5 to +0.3 pp	34,928	unclear
Quicksilver Reload	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	14.2%	42.4% ± 1.3 (n=5,378)	-1.0 pp	-2.2 to +0.2 pp	34,928	unclear
Kinetic Dash	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	13.2%	42.7% ± 1.4 (n=5,035)	-1.0 pp	-2.2 to +0.3 pp	34,928	unclear
Dispel Magic	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	33.1%	46.8% ± 0.9 (n=12,568)	+1.5 pp	+0.9 to +2.1 pp	26,367	likely helps
Toxic Bullets	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	43.6%	46.7% ± 0.8 (n=16,580)	+0.7 pp	+0.2 to +1.2 pp	26,367	likely helps
Headhunter	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	24.8%	41.2% ± 1.0 (n=9,440)	-3.7 pp	-4.8 to -2.6 pp	26,367	likely hurts
Spirit Strike	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=9)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Rapid Rounds	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	1.8%	38.4% ± 3.7 (n=667)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Mystic Expansion	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=11)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Extra Spirit	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	3.8%	41.0% ± 2.5 (n=1,452)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Monster Rounds	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.8%	34.1% ± 5.2 (n=317)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Close Quarters	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=13)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Melee Lifesteal	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=7)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Mystic Regeneration	Tier 1 / 2 alternatives (group 1)	0.5%	34.6% ± 6.7 (n=188)	—	—	11,534	not enough data
Improved Spirit	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	9.5%	40.4% ± 1.6 (n=3,600)	—	—	34,928	not enough data
Melee Charge	Tier 2 / 8 alternatives (group 2)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=13)	—	—	34,928	not enough data
Stamina Mastery	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.8%	47.0% ± 5.4 (n=319)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Torment Pulse	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=56)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Silence Wave	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=14)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Express Shot	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=23)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Cultist Sacrifice	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	1.4%	36.2% ± 4.0 (n=542)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Rapid Recharge	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.5%	46.4% ± 6.7 (n=207)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Tesla Bullets	Tier 3 / 3 alternatives (group 3)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=21)	—	—	26,367	not enough data
Ricochet	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	20.2%	46.4% ± 1.1 (n=7,661)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Spirit Burn	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=11)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Glass Cannon	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=8)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Echo Shard	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=43)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Crushing Fists	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=5)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Leech	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=17)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Transcendent Cooldown	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.3%	48.9% ± 8.4 (n=131)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Indomitable	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=9)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Vampiric Burst	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=2)	—	—	7,661	not enough data
Silencer	Tier 4 / 1 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=17)	—	—	7,661	not enough data

20 min or later

Show 22 rows with too little data Show all 18 rows

Comparison: 20 min or later. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances.
Item	Comparison tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Win rate impact	Likely range	Distinct matches	Data covered	Evidence
Spirit Lifesteal	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	18.6%	50.7% ± 1.2 (n=7,078)	+1.9 pp	+0.8 to +2.9 pp	18,537	95.4%	likely helps
Improved Spirit	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	12.3%	48.7% ± 1.4 (n=4,673)	-0.1 pp	-1.3 to +1.0 pp	18,537	95.4%	unclear
Mystic Vulnerability	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	16.9%	42.3% ± 1.2 (n=6,417)	-0.6 pp	-1.7 to +0.4 pp	18,537	95.4%	unclear
Titanic Magazine	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	19.0%	45.0% ± 1.1 (n=7,240)	-1.1 pp	-2.0 to -0.3 pp	18,537	95.4%	likely hurts
Superior Cooldown	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	46.5%	46.2% ± 0.7 (n=17,663)	-0.2 pp	-0.7 to +0.3 pp	29,969	97.6%	unclear
Spirit Resilience	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	12.1%	42.0% ± 1.4 (n=4,596)	+0.2 pp	-1.1 to +1.6 pp	29,969	97.6%	unclear
Dispel Magic	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	18.5%	41.1% ± 1.1 (n=7,045)	-0.2 pp	-1.2 to +0.7 pp	29,969	97.6%	unclear
Toxic Bullets	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	42.8%	41.6% ± 0.8 (n=16,275)	-0.6 pp	-1.2 to +0.1 pp	29,969	97.6%	unclear
Spirit Rend	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	12.7%	46.3% ± 1.4 (n=4,836)	-0.1 pp	-1.4 to +1.3 pp	29,969	97.6%	unclear
Silencer	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	18.1%	53.9% ± 1.2 (n=6,889)	+2.7 pp	+1.0 to +4.3 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely helps
Siphon Bullets	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	14.8%	52.6% ± 1.3 (n=5,623)	+2.3 pp	+1.0 to +3.6 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely helps
Inhibitor	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	28.0%	52.4% ± 0.9 (n=10,658)	+1.9 pp	+0.7 to +3.2 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely helps
Spiritual Overflow	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	24.4%	54.0% ± 1.0 (n=9,275)	+1.6 pp	+0.6 to +2.7 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely helps
Mercurial Magnum	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	11.3%	50.1% ± 1.5 (n=4,293)	+0.2 pp	-1.4 to +1.7 pp	35,004	92.3%	unclear
Escalating Exposure	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	71.0%	46.6% ± 0.6 (n=27,000)	-0.9 pp	-1.4 to -0.3 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely hurts
Boundless Spirit	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	20.0%	52.1% ± 1.1 (n=7,613)	-1.1 pp	-2.3 to +0.1 pp	35,004	92.3%	unclear
Ricochet	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	66.4%	45.1% ± 0.6 (n=25,247)	-1.8 pp	-2.7 to -0.9 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely hurts
Transcendent Cooldown	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	19.6%	50.4% ± 1.1 (n=7,461)	-4.5 pp	-5.6 to -3.3 pp	35,004	92.3%	likely hurts
Spirit Strike	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=3)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Rapid Rounds	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.6%	37.2% ± 6.1 (n=234)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Mystic Expansion	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=26)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Extra Spirit	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	5.4%	52.6% ± 2.2 (n=2,040)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Monster Rounds	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=43)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Close Quarters	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=10)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Melee Lifesteal	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=5)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Mystic Regeneration	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	0.3%	41.7% ± 8.9 (n=115)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Extended Magazine	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	6.7%	48.7% ± 1.9 (n=2,548)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Grit	Tier 1 / 0 alternatives (group 4)	1.3%	44.9% ± 4.4 (n=494)	—	—	0	0.0%	not enough data
Melee Charge	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=4)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Quicksilver Reload	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	4.6%	42.9% ± 2.3 (n=1,742)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Stalker	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=2)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Spirit Shielding	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	1.1%	41.3% ± 4.7 (n=414)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Compress Cooldown	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	7.7%	43.2% ± 1.8 (n=2,935)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Active Reload	Tier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 1)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=40)	—	—	18,537	95.4%	not enough data
Stamina Mastery	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	1.7%	41.9% ± 3.8 (n=642)	—	—	29,969	97.6%	not enough data
Torment Pulse	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=39)	—	—	29,969	97.6%	not enough data
Majestic Leap	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	0.0%	insufficient data (n=8)	—	—	29,969	97.6%	not enough data
Silence Wave	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=55)	—	—	29,969	97.6%	not enough data
Express Shot	Tier 3 / 5 alternatives (group 2)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=25)	—	—	29,969	97.6%	not enough data
Frenzy	Tier 4 / 9 alternatives (group 3)	0.1%	insufficient data (n=46)	—	—	35,004	92.3%	not enough data

Observed builds

View Most popular / Highest win rate builds for these patch, rank, scope and purchase-view settings.

Item effects

Show the item effect tables

Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches across all ranks. Expected win chance at purchase, Win rate vs expected and Edge over same-tier items come from a model of the game before each purchase; they are separate from the win rate impact comparison.

Bought before 10 min

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item	Tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Expected win chance at purchase	Win rate vs expected	vs hero	Edge over same-tier items
Dispel Magic	3	0.3%	57.3% ± 9.4 (n=103)	50.3%	+7.0 pp	+14.1 pp	+8.5 pp
Spirit Shielding	2	0.6%	47.2% ± 6.4 (n=233)	48.3%	-1.1 pp	+4.0 pp	+2.7 pp
Spirit Lifesteal	2	0.6%	47.0% ± 6.6 (n=217)	48.5%	-1.5 pp	+3.8 pp	+2.2 pp
Toxic Bullets	3	1.5%	48.7% ± 4.0 (n=583)	48.0%	+0.7 pp	+5.5 pp	+2.2 pp
Enchanter's Emblem	2	1.9%	47.2% ± 3.6 (n=725)	49.4%	-2.2 pp	+4.0 pp	+1.6 pp
Rusted Barrel	1	1.6%	45.9% ± 3.9 (n=615)	50.6%	-4.8 pp	+2.7 pp	+1.5 pp
Recharging Rush	2	9.3%	48.1% ± 1.6 (n=3,543)	50.4%	-2.3 pp	+4.9 pp	+1.5 pp
Spirit Sap	2	5.2%	45.9% ± 2.2 (n=1,973)	48.4%	-2.5 pp	+2.7 pp	+1.3 pp
Headhunter	3	5.8%	49.2% ± 2.1 (n=2,210)	49.5%	-0.2 pp	+6.1 pp	+1.2 pp
Compress Cooldown	2	26.9%	45.8% ± 1.0 (n=10,228)	48.7%	-2.9 pp	+2.6 pp	+0.9 pp

10–20 min

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item	Tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Expected win chance at purchase	Win rate vs expected	vs hero	Edge over same-tier items
Spirit Sap	2	1.3%	46.9% ± 4.4 (n=490)	46.0%	+0.9 pp	+3.8 pp	+5.5 pp
Weapon Shielding	2	0.3%	45.5% ± 9.6 (n=99)	45.7%	-0.2 pp	+2.3 pp	+4.4 pp
Grit	1	1.2%	47.3% ± 4.5 (n=467)	49.0%	-1.7 pp	+4.2 pp	+3.9 pp
Escalating Exposure	4	3.8%	56.4% ± 2.5 (n=1,461)	51.5%	+4.9 pp	+13.2 pp	+2.7 pp
Spirit Resilience	3	2.5%	46.0% ± 3.2 (n=934)	46.0%	+0.0 pp	+2.9 pp	+1.9 pp
Dispel Magic	3	33.1%	46.8% ± 0.9 (n=12,568)	46.8%	+0.0 pp	+3.6 pp	+1.9 pp
Debuff Reducer	2	0.6%	46.5% ± 6.6 (n=215)	49.7%	-3.1 pp	+3.3 pp	+1.4 pp
Toxic Bullets	3	43.6%	46.7% ± 0.8 (n=16,580)	47.3%	-0.5 pp	+3.6 pp	+1.4 pp
Extended Magazine	1	20.8%	44.2% ± 1.1 (n=7,911)	48.4%	-4.2 pp	+1.1 pp	+1.4 pp
Enchanter's Emblem	2	4.0%	44.2% ± 2.5 (n=1,536)	47.4%	-3.2 pp	+1.0 pp	+1.3 pp

20 min or later

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 38,007 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item	Tier	Bought in	Win rate when bought	Expected win chance at purchase	Win rate vs expected	vs hero	Edge over same-tier items
Weighted Shots	3	0.3%	52.4% ± 9.5 (n=103)	46.7%	+5.7 pp	+9.3 pp	+8.3 pp
High-Velocity Rounds	1	0.5%	44.6% ± 7.1 (n=184)	44.5%	+0.0 pp	+1.4 pp	+3.7 pp
Warp Stone	3	0.3%	49.1% ± 9.0 (n=116)	48.7%	+0.4 pp	+6.0 pp	+3.0 pp
Diviner's Kevlar	4	3.0%	59.4% ± 2.8 (n=1,140)	54.3%	+5.1 pp	+16.2 pp	+2.9 pp
Echo Shard	4	2.6%	54.2% ± 3.1 (n=996)	49.2%	+5.0 pp	+11.0 pp	+2.8 pp
Lucky Shot	4	0.3%	59.5% ± 8.8 (n=116)	54.5%	+4.9 pp	+16.3 pp	+2.8 pp
Cheat Death	4	0.3%	57.4% ± 8.4 (n=129)	52.5%	+4.8 pp	+14.2 pp	+2.7 pp
Spirit Lifesteal	2	18.6%	50.7% ± 1.2 (n=7,078)	51.4%	-0.7 pp	+7.5 pp	+2.5 pp
Extra Spirit	1	5.4%	52.6% ± 2.2 (n=2,040)	53.8%	-1.2 pp	+9.4 pp	+2.5 pp
Ethereal Shift	4	0.7%	54.6% ± 6.1 (n=249)	50.8%	+3.8 pp	+11.4 pp	+1.7 pp

How we calculate this

In observed win rates, ± shows half the width of the likely range; n is the number of games or appearances counted. Percentage-point differences are labeled pp.

Grades use win rates adjusted toward the overall average to reduce small-sample swings. Difference from the corresponding population average, in percentage points: S at or above +3; A at or above +1 and < +3; B > -1 and < +1; C > -3 and at or below -1; D at or below -3. A dash means not enough data. The displayed win rate is the observed rate; grades use the adjusted rate. Hero-summary grades use all ranks, clean matches for this patch.

Win rate when bought is the observed match win rate among buyers. Win rate impact compares eligible same-tier alternatives in the same purchase phase after giving them a common mix of purchase times, team wealth leads and ranks. Compare only rows with the same alternatives and mix; numbered groups distinguish different comparisons when a table contains more than one. The reference includes the item itself; zero is the reference average. Data covered is the share of the intended comparison mix supported by the data, counted in groups of purchase time, team wealth lead and rank.

The likely range is a 95% interval accounting for purchases from the same match, conditional on the chosen alternatives and mix. Likely helps means the entire range is above zero; likely hurts means below zero; unclear includes zero. Not enough data means a comparison failed its sample, support or display requirements. These associations do not establish cause, account for unmeasured differences or repeated players across matches, predict future patches, or add up to a build win rate. Filtering items does not change the comparison groups, weights or estimates.

Expected win chance at purchase is the average win chance a separate model of the game gave the buyers just before they bought. Win rate vs expected is the buyers' actual win rate minus that expected chance, measured on the same data used to fit the model. Edge over same-tier items is that difference minus the average difference for same-tier items on this hero in the same phase; it is observational, not the win rate impact comparison. Purchase shares use all hero appearances. Rows are limited to 10 per comparison tier.

Win chance effect comes from a statistical model over clean matches of this patch and match tier. It is shown in percentage points above a 50% baseline from this hero's side: positive means this hero's side wins more often. Tables are sorted by the underlying model coefficient.