Deadlock By The Numbers

Paradox

Patch 2026-09-29.

Daily trends

0 = off

Summary

Win rate 45.5% ± 0.3 (n=100,561). Grade D. vs average -4.5 pp.

Kills / deaths / assists per game: 5.5 / 6.4 / 12.9. Net worth per minute: 1,127.1. Average match length: 36.2 min.

Lane highlights: this patch, all ranks, clean matches, all purchases. Ranked by observed match win rate among assigned-lane opponents with enough games; differences use this hero's overall rate in the same population.

Best observed lane opponent: Mirage — 52.1% (likely range 49.4% to 54.8%), +6.6 pp vs hero overall, 1,308 games.

Worst observed lane opponent: Graves — 38.1% (likely range 36.9% to 39.4%), -7.4 pp vs hero overall, 5,873 games.

Top items and bottom items by phase

Bought before 10 min

Top items: Headhunter +1.6 pp, Long Range +0.5 pp, Extra Stamina +1.1 pp

Bottom items: Sharpshooter -1.0 pp, Restorative Shot -1.0 pp, Extra Regen -1.1 pp

10–20 min

Top items: Fortitude +1.4 pp, High-Velocity Rounds +1.7 pp, Stamina Mastery +1.0 pp

Bottom items: Sharpshooter -1.0 pp, Sprint Boots -1.4 pp, Tankbuster -0.4 pp

20 min or later

Top items: Glass Cannon +1.2 pp, Spirit Burn +1.1 pp, Superior Duration +1.4 pp

Bottom items: Transcendent Cooldown -3.1 pp, Sharpshooter -1.0 pp, Mystic Reverb -0.7 pp

Ranked by the low end of each likely range, from items with enough games. See Win rate impact below for the full tables.

View the most popular and highest win rate builds for this hero.

By rank tier

Show the rank table
Tier Games Win rate Pick share Ban rate
All tiers100,56145.5% ± 0.3 (n=100,561)2.2% (n=4,643,618)0.6% (n=387,129)
1 Initiate4,95145.7% ± 1.4 (n=4,951)1.7% (n=286,633)0.4% (n=26,191)
2 Seeker9,84145.3% ± 1.0 (n=9,841)1.7% (n=567,145)0.4% (n=53,624)
3 Acolyte10,34045.0% ± 1.0 (n=10,340)1.9% (n=538,601)0.4% (n=49,318)
4 Sentinel9,21745.2% ± 1.0 (n=9,217)2.0% (n=454,663)0.4% (n=40,935)
5 Mystic9,02545.9% ± 1.0 (n=9,025)2.2% (n=412,948)0.4% (n=37,362)
6 Ritualist9,07145.4% ± 1.0 (n=9,071)2.2% (n=417,480)0.3% (n=36,413)
7 Emissary9,78545.8% ± 1.0 (n=9,785)2.4% (n=403,465)0.3% (n=36,580)
8 Oracle14,28145.3% ± 0.8 (n=14,281)2.6% (n=546,368)0.9% (n=42,649)
9 Phantom10,68946.4% ± 0.9 (n=10,689)2.5% (n=432,077)1.4% (n=40,417)
10 Ascendant5,68645.7% ± 1.3 (n=5,686)2.7% (n=213,670)1.2% (n=16,821)
11 Eternus1,80446.6% ± 2.3 (n=1,804)2.3% (n=78,077)1.8% (n=6,819)

Win rate by match length

Show the match length table
Match length Win rate
under 30 min40.8% ± 0.7 (n=18,583)
30–40 min46.0% ± 0.4 (n=55,676)
40 min or more47.6% ± 0.6 (n=26,302)

Win rate impact

Show the win rate impact tables

Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC. All ranks, clean matches.

Bought before 10 min

Comparison: Bought before 10 min. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances.
Item Comparison tier Bought in Win rate when bought Win rate impact Likely range Distinct matches Data covered Evidence
Extra StaminaTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)14.4%46.5% ± 0.8 (n=14,505)+1.1 pp+0.0 to +2.1 pp99,67999.3%likely helps
Sprint BootsTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)22.2%47.3% ± 0.7 (n=22,306)+1.0 pp-0.0 to +2.0 pp99,67999.3%unclear
High-Velocity RoundsTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)61.0%45.5% ± 0.4 (n=61,310)-0.0 pp-0.3 to +0.2 pp99,67999.3%unclear
Headshot BoosterTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)50.0%45.6% ± 0.4 (n=50,285)+0.1 pp-0.4 to +0.5 pp99,67999.3%unclear
Mystic BurstTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)33.3%45.7% ± 0.5 (n=33,475)+0.2 pp-0.5 to +0.9 pp99,67999.3%unclear
Monster RoundsTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)18.1%45.0% ± 0.7 (n=18,208)-0.6 pp-1.3 to +0.1 pp99,67999.3%unclear
Restorative ShotTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)47.2%45.1% ± 0.4 (n=47,509)-1.0 pp-1.6 to -0.4 pp99,67999.3%likely hurts
Extra RegenTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)11.8%43.7% ± 0.9 (n=11,891)-1.1 pp-2.0 to -0.2 pp99,67999.3%likely hurts
Long RangeTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)55.4%46.2% ± 0.4 (n=55,710)+0.5 pp+0.2 to +0.7 pp83,173100.0%likely helps
Trophy CollectorTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)21.3%48.1% ± 0.7 (n=21,384)+0.3 pp-0.5 to +1.0 pp83,173100.0%unclear
Mystic ShotTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)36.0%45.5% ± 0.5 (n=36,248)-0.3 pp-0.7 to +0.1 pp83,173100.0%unclear
Opening RoundsTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)25.1%46.1% ± 0.6 (n=25,211)-0.7 pp-1.3 to -0.1 pp83,173100.0%likely hurts
HeadhunterTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)18.1%48.2% ± 0.7 (n=18,183)+1.6 pp+1.0 to +2.1 pp43,897100.0%likely helps
SharpshooterTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)26.0%47.5% ± 0.6 (n=26,152)-1.0 pp-1.4 to -0.6 pp43,897100.0%likely hurts
Spirit StrikeTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)0.1%insufficient data (n=65)——99,67999.3%not enough data
Rapid RoundsTier 1 / 8 alternatives (group 1)0.2%37.4% ± 7.0 (n=179)——99,67999.3%not enough data
Improved SpiritTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)2.0%47.8% ± 2.2 (n=1,962)——83,173100.0%not enough data
Melee ChargeTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.2%50.0% ± 7.4 (n=172)——83,173100.0%not enough data
Quicksilver ReloadTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.1%42.0% ± 9.0 (n=112)——83,173100.0%not enough data
StalkerTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.4%46.1% ± 4.6 (n=451)——83,173100.0%not enough data
Spirit ShieldingTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.9%48.0% ± 3.3 (n=886)——83,173100.0%not enough data
Compress CooldownTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)1.4%44.2% ± 2.5 (n=1,454)——83,173100.0%not enough data
Stamina MasteryTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.1%52.6% ± 8.9 (n=116)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Torment PulseTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=6)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Majestic LeapTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Silence WaveTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Express ShotTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)1.4%46.6% ± 2.6 (n=1,445)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Cultist SacrificeTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)3.1%46.8% ± 1.8 (n=3,115)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Tesla BulletsTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=20)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Veil WalkerTier 3 / 2 alternatives (group 3)0.3%50.0% ± 6.0 (n=266)——43,897100.0%not enough data
Spirit BurnTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——00.0%not enough data
Glass CannonTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=4)——00.0%not enough data
Echo ShardTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=10)——00.0%not enough data
IndomitableTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——00.0%not enough data
Lucky ShotTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——00.0%not enough data
Crippling HeadshotTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——00.0%not enough data

10–20 min

Comparison: 10–20 min. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances.
Item Comparison tier Bought in Win rate when bought Win rate impact Likely range Distinct matches Data covered Evidence
High-Velocity RoundsTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)11.9%45.5% ± 0.9 (n=11,935)+1.7 pp+0.9 to +2.4 pp66,283100.0%likely helps
Extra StaminaTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)27.7%45.9% ± 0.6 (n=27,880)+0.1 pp-0.3 to +0.5 pp66,283100.0%unclear
Extra HealthTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)22.3%45.8% ± 0.7 (n=22,397)-0.1 pp-0.6 to +0.4 pp66,283100.0%unclear
Mystic BurstTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)28.2%46.1% ± 0.6 (n=28,338)-0.5 pp-1.0 to -0.1 pp66,283100.0%likely hurts
Sprint BootsTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)11.2%43.2% ± 0.9 (n=11,244)-1.4 pp-2.5 to -0.3 pp66,283100.0%likely hurts
Compress CooldownTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)28.2%48.1% ± 0.6 (n=28,373)+0.4 pp-0.2 to +1.0 pp59,086100.0%unclear
Long RangeTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)15.6%43.4% ± 0.8 (n=15,667)+0.4 pp-0.3 to +1.1 pp59,086100.0%unclear
Slowing HexTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)13.7%45.6% ± 0.8 (n=13,745)-0.2 pp-1.0 to +0.6 pp59,086100.0%unclear
Trophy CollectorTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)19.5%44.3% ± 0.7 (n=19,614)-1.3 pp-2.5 to -0.0 pp59,086100.0%likely hurts
FortitudeTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)27.5%48.4% ± 0.6 (n=27,688)+1.4 pp+1.0 to +1.9 pp91,260100.0%likely helps
Stamina MasteryTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)17.6%48.6% ± 0.7 (n=17,655)+1.0 pp+0.3 to +1.6 pp91,260100.0%likely helps
Express ShotTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)45.0%47.8% ± 0.5 (n=45,288)+0.3 pp-0.1 to +0.6 pp91,260100.0%unclear
TankbusterTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)43.8%47.6% ± 0.5 (n=44,088)-0.4 pp-0.7 to -0.1 pp91,260100.0%likely hurts
HeadhunterTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)18.8%44.3% ± 0.7 (n=18,936)-0.1 pp-0.9 to +0.8 pp91,260100.0%unclear
SharpshooterTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)40.9%44.7% ± 0.5 (n=41,126)-1.0 pp-1.4 to -0.7 pp91,260100.0%likely hurts
Veil WalkerTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)13.3%45.7% ± 0.8 (n=13,391)-0.8 pp-1.5 to +0.0 pp91,260100.0%unclear
Spirit StrikeTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)0.0%insufficient data (n=30)——66,283100.0%not enough data
Rapid RoundsTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)0.1%insufficient data (n=75)——66,283100.0%not enough data
Mystic ExpansionTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)5.5%46.1% ± 1.3 (n=5,499)——66,283100.0%not enough data
Extra SpiritTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)2.2%44.8% ± 2.1 (n=2,221)——66,283100.0%not enough data
Monster RoundsTier 1 / 5 alternatives (group 1)0.8%39.3% ± 3.5 (n=755)——66,283100.0%not enough data
Improved SpiritTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)4.7%46.4% ± 1.4 (n=4,685)——59,086100.0%not enough data
Melee ChargeTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.0%insufficient data (n=49)——59,086100.0%not enough data
Quicksilver ReloadTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.3%45.0% ± 5.3 (n=338)——59,086100.0%not enough data
StalkerTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.1%41.0% ± 9.2 (n=105)——59,086100.0%not enough data
Spirit ShieldingTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)2.1%43.5% ± 2.1 (n=2,091)——59,086100.0%not enough data
Active ReloadTier 2 / 4 alternatives (group 2)0.0%insufficient data (n=28)——59,086100.0%not enough data
Torment PulseTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=38)——91,260100.0%not enough data
Majestic LeapTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=15)——91,260100.0%not enough data
Silence WaveTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 3)0.1%47.3% ± 8.4 (n=131)——91,260100.0%not enough data
Spirit BurnTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.2%48.9% ± 6.4 (n=229)——00.0%not enough data
Glass CannonTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.7%50.0% ± 3.6 (n=750)——00.0%not enough data
Lightning ScrollTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=10)——00.0%not enough data
Echo ShardTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)2.7%52.3% ± 1.9 (n=2,669)——00.0%not enough data
Armor PiercerTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=2)——00.0%not enough data
RefresherTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=1)——00.0%not enough data
CapacitorTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=13)——00.0%not enough data
Crushing FistsTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=11)——00.0%not enough data
LeechTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=21)——00.0%not enough data
Transcendent CooldownTier 4 / 0 alternatives (group 4)0.1%48.0% ± 8.6 (n=125)——00.0%not enough data

20 min or later

Comparison: 20 min or later. Up to 10 rows per tier, eligible alternatives first. Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances.
Item Comparison tier Bought in Win rate when bought Win rate impact Likely range Distinct matches Data covered Evidence
Superior DurationTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)12.5%49.0% ± 0.9 (n=12,572)+1.4 pp+0.7 to +2.2 pp90,21699.0%likely helps
Hollow PointTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)32.8%47.1% ± 0.5 (n=33,031)+0.7 pp+0.3 to +1.1 pp90,21699.0%likely helps
Stamina MasteryTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)35.9%47.7% ± 0.5 (n=36,110)+0.5 pp+0.2 to +0.8 pp90,21699.0%likely helps
Superior CooldownTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)42.7%49.3% ± 0.5 (n=42,897)-0.2 pp-0.7 to +0.2 pp90,21699.0%unclear
Express ShotTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)29.3%43.1% ± 0.6 (n=29,467)-0.5 pp-1.0 to +0.0 pp90,21699.0%unclear
TankbusterTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)35.3%44.0% ± 0.5 (n=35,453)-0.7 pp-1.1 to -0.3 pp90,21699.0%likely hurts
SharpshooterTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)13.2%44.5% ± 0.8 (n=13,284)-1.0 pp-1.7 to -0.4 pp90,21699.0%likely hurts
Glass CannonTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)22.2%56.5% ± 0.7 (n=22,334)+1.2 pp+0.8 to +1.7 pp76,72098.8%likely helps
Spirit BurnTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)38.2%55.3% ± 0.5 (n=38,387)+1.1 pp+0.7 to +1.4 pp76,72098.8%likely helps
Mystic ReverbTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)59.0%51.7% ± 0.4 (n=59,361)-0.7 pp-1.0 to -0.3 pp76,72098.8%likely hurts
Crippling HeadshotTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)15.6%54.1% ± 0.8 (n=15,683)-0.6 pp-1.2 to +0.1 pp76,72098.8%unclear
Transcendent CooldownTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)18.8%52.0% ± 0.7 (n=18,951)-3.1 pp-3.9 to -2.4 pp76,72098.8%likely hurts
Extra StaminaTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)13.7%47.6% ± 0.8 (n=13,789)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Spirit StrikeTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=43)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Rapid RoundsTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=33)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Mystic ExpansionTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)2.3%43.1% ± 2.0 (n=2,345)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Extra SpiritTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.7%52.1% ± 3.6 (n=722)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Monster RoundsTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.1%31.3% ± 9.0 (n=99)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Close QuartersTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.1%insufficient data (n=64)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Melee LifestealTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=22)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Mystic RegenerationTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.0%insufficient data (n=40)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Extended MagazineTier 1 / 1 alternatives (group 3)0.1%38.0% ± 9.7 (n=92)——13,75699.8%not enough data
Compress CooldownTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)37.4%46.2% ± 0.5 (n=37,560)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Improved SpiritTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)2.2%48.2% ± 2.1 (n=2,246)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Melee ChargeTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)0.1%insufficient data (n=61)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Quicksilver ReloadTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)0.6%51.9% ± 3.9 (n=617)——37,52699.9%not enough data
StalkerTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=29)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Spirit ShieldingTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)1.0%41.4% ± 3.1 (n=996)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Active ReloadTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)0.0%insufficient data (n=18)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Slowing BulletsTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)1.3%45.6% ± 2.7 (n=1,281)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Mystic ShotTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)4.8%45.0% ± 1.4 (n=4,787)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Bullet LifestealTier 2 / 1 alternatives (group 4)0.4%48.4% ± 5.1 (n=372)——37,52699.9%not enough data
Torment PulseTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)0.0%insufficient data (n=45)——90,21699.0%not enough data
Majestic LeapTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)0.1%insufficient data (n=51)——90,21699.0%not enough data
Silence WaveTier 3 / 7 alternatives (group 1)0.5%41.4% ± 4.3 (n=512)——90,21699.0%not enough data
FrenzyTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)0.0%insufficient data (n=42)——76,72098.8%not enough data
Lightning ScrollTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)0.4%54.3% ± 4.7 (n=429)——76,72098.8%not enough data
Echo ShardTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)9.0%47.8% ± 1.0 (n=9,015)——76,72098.8%not enough data
Armor PiercerTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)0.4%52.1% ± 4.6 (n=447)——76,72098.8%not enough data
RefresherTier 4 / 5 alternatives (group 2)0.2%49.3% ± 6.8 (n=205)——76,72098.8%not enough data

Observed builds

View Most popular / Highest win rate builds for these patch, rank, scope and purchase-view settings.

Item effects

Show the item effect tables

Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches across all ranks. Expected win chance at purchase, Win rate vs expected and Edge over same-tier items come from a model of the game before each purchase; they are separate from the win rate impact comparison.

Bought before 10 min

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item Tier Bought in Win rate when bought Expected win chance at purchase Win rate vs expected vs hero Edge over same-tier items
Hollow Point30.2%53.7% ± 7.6 (n=162)46.7%+7.0 pp+8.2 pp+6.9 pp
Mystic Slow20.1%54.5% ± 8.4 (n=132)49.6%+4.9 pp+9.1 pp+6.8 pp
Alchemical Fire30.2%50.3% ± 7.4 (n=173)45.0%+5.3 pp+4.8 pp+5.2 pp
Spirit Lifesteal20.3%51.7% ± 5.3 (n=344)49.1%+2.7 pp+6.3 pp+4.6 pp
Fortitude30.7%54.0% ± 3.6 (n=718)49.9%+4.2 pp+8.6 pp+4.1 pp
Superior Duration30.2%51.7% ± 7.4 (n=172)48.7%+3.1 pp+6.3 pp+3.0 pp
Enchanter's Emblem20.9%49.2% ± 3.3 (n=900)48.3%+0.9 pp+3.7 pp+2.8 pp
Melee Charge20.2%50.0% ± 7.4 (n=172)49.3%+0.7 pp+4.5 pp+2.6 pp
Weakening Headshot21.7%48.9% ± 2.3 (n=1,757)48.4%+0.5 pp+3.4 pp+2.4 pp
Duration Extender25.2%48.6% ± 1.4 (n=5,235)48.5%+0.1 pp+3.1 pp+2.0 pp

10–20 min

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item Tier Bought in Win rate when bought Expected win chance at purchase Win rate vs expected vs hero Edge over same-tier items
Close Quarters10.2%53.2% ± 7.7 (n=156)49.0%+4.2 pp+7.7 pp+8.1 pp
Extended Magazine10.1%52.3% ± 9.2 (n=109)51.2%+1.0 pp+6.8 pp+5.0 pp
Cold Front20.2%49.4% ± 7.7 (n=160)47.2%+2.2 pp+3.9 pp+4.9 pp
Vortex Web40.2%56.0% ± 7.1 (n=182)45.2%+10.9 pp+10.6 pp+4.6 pp
Mystic Slow20.6%48.0% ± 3.9 (n=621)46.6%+1.4 pp+2.5 pp+4.1 pp
Hollow Point37.5%52.5% ± 1.1 (n=7,502)49.9%+2.6 pp+7.0 pp+3.3 pp
Alchemical Fire33.2%47.3% ± 1.7 (n=3,262)45.1%+2.3 pp+1.9 pp+3.0 pp
Bullet Resist Shredder21.9%49.5% ± 2.2 (n=1,913)49.4%+0.1 pp+4.0 pp+2.8 pp
Echo Shard42.7%52.3% ± 1.9 (n=2,669)43.4%+8.9 pp+6.8 pp+2.6 pp
Spirit Lifesteal24.1%47.5% ± 1.5 (n=4,080)47.9%-0.4 pp+2.1 pp+2.3 pp

20 min or later

0 items below the selected purchase-share filter. Purchase shares use all hero games, including for phase purchases.

Purchase shares: 100,561 hero appearances. Computed 2026-10-23 00:36 UTC from 387,129 clean matches, all ranks.
Item Tier Bought in Win rate when bought Expected win chance at purchase Win rate vs expected vs hero Edge over same-tier items
Extra Charge10.1%53.3% ± 8.7 (n=122)49.4%+3.9 pp+7.8 pp+6.1 pp
Extra Spirit10.7%52.1% ± 3.6 (n=722)49.8%+2.3 pp+6.6 pp+4.5 pp
Rescue Beam30.1%50.0% ± 8.5 (n=128)46.7%+3.3 pp+4.5 pp+3.5 pp
Cold Front20.1%53.6% ± 9.1 (n=112)52.8%+0.8 pp+8.1 pp+2.5 pp
Diviner's Kevlar42.1%58.1% ± 2.1 (n=2,095)51.2%+6.8 pp+12.6 pp+2.2 pp
Headshot Booster10.5%50.9% ± 4.4 (n=501)51.1%-0.2 pp+5.4 pp+2.0 pp
Radiant Regeneration30.1%47.9% ± 8.2 (n=140)46.0%+1.8 pp+2.4 pp+2.0 pp
Mystic Vulnerability24.0%50.7% ± 1.6 (n=3,981)50.5%+0.2 pp+5.3 pp+1.9 pp
Arctic Blast40.2%57.1% ± 6.6 (n=210)50.6%+6.5 pp+11.7 pp+1.9 pp
Weakening Headshot28.4%51.4% ± 1.1 (n=8,417)51.2%+0.2 pp+5.9 pp+1.9 pp
How we calculate this

In observed win rates, ± shows half the width of the likely range; n is the number of games or appearances counted. Percentage-point differences are labeled pp.

Grades use win rates adjusted toward the overall average to reduce small-sample swings. Difference from the corresponding population average, in percentage points: S at or above +3; A at or above +1 and < +3; B > -1 and < +1; C > -3 and at or below -1; D at or below -3. A dash means not enough data. The displayed win rate is the observed rate; grades use the adjusted rate. Hero-summary grades use all ranks, clean matches for this patch.

Win rate when bought is the observed match win rate among buyers. Win rate impact compares eligible same-tier alternatives in the same purchase phase after giving them a common mix of purchase times, team wealth leads and ranks. Compare only rows with the same alternatives and mix; numbered groups distinguish different comparisons when a table contains more than one. The reference includes the item itself; zero is the reference average. Data covered is the share of the intended comparison mix supported by the data, counted in groups of purchase time, team wealth lead and rank.

The likely range is a 95% interval accounting for purchases from the same match, conditional on the chosen alternatives and mix. Likely helps means the entire range is above zero; likely hurts means below zero; unclear includes zero. Not enough data means a comparison failed its sample, support or display requirements. These associations do not establish cause, account for unmeasured differences or repeated players across matches, predict future patches, or add up to a build win rate. Filtering items does not change the comparison groups, weights or estimates.

Expected win chance at purchase is the average win chance a separate model of the game gave the buyers just before they bought. Win rate vs expected is the buyers' actual win rate minus that expected chance, measured on the same data used to fit the model. Edge over same-tier items is that difference minus the average difference for same-tier items on this hero in the same phase; it is observational, not the win rate impact comparison. Purchase shares use all hero appearances. Rows are limited to 10 per comparison tier.

Win chance effect comes from a statistical model over clean matches of this patch and match tier. It is shown in percentage points above a 50% baseline from this hero's side: positive means this hero's side wins more often. Tables are sorted by the underlying model coefficient.